Warragul Race 3

Oaks Super Box

Stake: $1,683

NOAH DEAR (6) is long overdue and boasts a solid record despite not having won his maiden yet, the latest finishing second at Healesville. Did run very good time (17.00) latest. Ran one of the fastest times on the program last start despite finishing in the minors. Sure to be about the mark. WARRIOR LIZZY (7) clocked a new course and distance PB last time, finishing a 10 length third behind Flying Mckeon in 23.38. Rates a leading chance if runs up to latest. BIG BRUCE (1) is yet to win in 13 starts but been in the minors. Great chance to atone. HURRICANE MISCHA (2) is not to be discarded.

Distance: 400m
Class: Tier 3 - Maiden
Track: Good
Weather: FINE
Surface: All Weather

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Big Bruce (1) 5545486778
Trainer: Constance McMillan (Drouin)
Prize Money: $506
Win / Place: 0% / 7.69%

2 yo Black D

Sire: SHIMA SHINE

Dam: MIDNIGHT CARMEN

Rating

Stats

Career

13: 0-0-1

Track

8: 0-0-1

Trk/Dst

6: 0-0-1

Distance

6: 0-0-1

Season

13: 0-0-1

1st Up

1: 0-0-1

2nd Up

1: 0-0-0

Winning Distances
<400	400+	500+	600+	700+
0	0	0	0	0

Box History	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8
STARTS	1	3	1	1	2	2	2	1
1st	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2nd	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3rd	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0

Comments

Form hasn't been great but starts from the one box again. Last time finished last over 300m at Healesville beaten 9 lengths (17.49) behind Zinzan Charlie in a Maiden on December 6. Last couple have been below par. Deserves another chance.

Expected Early Speed:Midfield

Last Starts days since last start

Place	Date	Track	Distance	Box	Ran	Avg. Speed	Margin	SP	Win Time	BON	Class	Prize	Prize Won	Days	Result
8th of 8	6/12/24	Healesville	300m	1	0:17.49	61.7 km/h	8.5L	$51	0:16.89	0:16.89	MDN	$1,683	-	8	1. Zinzan Charlie 2. Noah Dear 3. Jay's Girl
7th of 8	28/11/24	Warragul	460m	2	0:26.97	61.4 km/h	7.9L	$27	0:26.42	0:26.13	MDN	$1,683	-	8	1. General Shadow 2. Weeona Bella 3. Hard Tag
7th of 8	20/11/24	Healesville	350m	4	0:20.20	62.4 km/h	11.4L	$23	0:19.40	0:19.40	MDN	$1,683	-	6	1. Dr. Reese 2. La Bella Mikado 3. Archer Seven
6th of 8	14/11/24	Warragul	460m	6	0:26.86	61.7 km/h	3.8L	$81	0:26.62	0:26.19	MDN	$1,683	-	7	1. Minh Bronco 2. Watching Over 3. Moraine Max
8th of 8	7/11/24	Warragul	400m	5	0:23.73	60.7 km/h	11.4L	$31	0:22.93	0:22.67	MDN	$1,683	-	8	1. Magic Outlaw 2. Ruth's Commander 3. Mia Master
4th of 6	30/10/24	Sale	435m	3	0:25.38	61.7 km/h	7.4L	$23	0:24.86	0:24.81	MDN	$1,683	$55	7	1. Undercover Guy 2. Select Jealous 3. Warrior Ethan

Hurricane Mischa (2) 7667767777
Trainer: Victoria Sultana (Trafalgar East)
Prize Money: $0
Win / Place: 0% / 0%

4 yo FWN B

Sire: SMOKE HOME

Dam: FALLEN STAR

Rating

Stats

Career

21: 0-0-0

Track

16: 0-0-0

Trk/Dst

16: 0-0-0

Distance

16: 0-0-0

Season

10: 0-0-0

1st Up

2: 0-0-0

2nd Up

1: 0-0-0

Winning Distances
<400	400+	500+	600+	700+
0	0	0	0	0

Box History	1	2	3	5	6	7	8
STARTS	3	6	5	1	1	2	3
1st	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2nd	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3rd	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Comments

Has finished seventh at her last couple of starts, most recently at Sale over 435m. Well placed and among the chances here.

Expected Early Speed:Backmarker

Last Starts days since last start

Place	Date	Track	Distance	Box	Ran	Avg. Speed	Margin	SP	Win Time	BON	Class	Prize	Prize Won	Days	Result
7th of 8	4/12/24	Sale	435m	2	0:26.13	59.9 km/h	17.3L	$61	0:24.91	0:24.43	MDN	$1,683	-	20	1. Olivia Lee Rose 2. Go See Ian 3. Nosey Bluey
7th of 8	14/11/24	Warragul	400m	1	0:23.90	60.3 km/h	15.5L	$101	0:22.88	0:22.72	MDN	$1,683	-	21	1. Marshmallow 2. Arka Chief 3. Pagoda Growler
7th of 7	24/10/24	Warragul	400m	3	0:24.22	59.5 km/h	11.5L	$126	0:23.41	0:22.95	MDN	$1,683	-	21	1. Hulk King Hammer 2. Mandolin Storm 3. Go See Ian
7th of 8	3/10/24	Warragul	400m	8	0:23.96	60.1 km/h	19.7L	$151	0:22.58	0:22.58	MDN	$1,683	-	14	1. Pretty Pipa 2. Are You Okay 3. Ultimate Lexi
6th of 8	19/9/24	Warragul	400m	3	0:23.99	60.0 km/h	16.5L	$101	0:22.83	0:22.83	MDN	$1,683	-	14	1. Reality Best 2. King Litterbug 3. Slay Queen Molly
7th of 8	5/9/24	Warragul	400m	8	0:24.09	59.8 km/h	13.2L	$101	0:23.16	0:23.16	MDN	$1,683	-	7	1. Parumba Jazzman 2. Boil The Billy 3. Crypto Tiger

Keeping Noise (3) 48568448
Trainer: Gordon Edwards (Cranbourne West)
Prize Money: $193
Win / Place: 0% / 0%

2 yo Black B

Sire: FERAL FRANKY

Dam: FRAN KEEPING

Rating

Stats

Career

8: 0-0-0

Track

4: 0-0-0

Trk/Dst

4: 0-0-0

Distance

5: 0-0-0

Season

8: 0-0-0

1st Up

1: 0-0-0

2nd Up

1: 0-0-0

Winning Distances
<400	400+	500+	600+	700+
0	0	0	0	0

Box History	3	4	5	6	7	8
STARTS	2	1	2	1	1	1
1st	0	0	0	0	0	0
2nd	0	0	0	0	0	0
3rd	0	0	0	0	0	0

Comments

At the last outing finished last on December 5 over 400m at this track behind Weeona Bella beaten 16 lengths (23.93) in a Maiden. Racing well and has to be included.

Expected Early Speed:Midfield

Last Starts days since last start

Place	Date	Track	Distance	Box	Ran	Avg. Speed	Margin	SP	Win Time	BON	Class	Prize	Prize Won	Days	Result
8th of 8	5/12/24	Warragul	400m	3	0:23.93	60.2 km/h	15.7L	$15	0:22.83	0:22.65	MDN	$1,683	-	8	1. Weeona Bella 2. Paw Forrester 3. How High Jive
4th of 8	27/11/24	Healesville	300m	6	0:17.42	62.0 km/h	2.9L	$7.00	0:17.22	0:16.81	MDN	$1,683	$55	13	1. My Mate Trinny 2. Tiles And Wine 3. Timber Jack
4th of 8	14/11/24	Warragul	400m	5	0:23.67	60.8 km/h	12.0L	$31	0:22.88	0:22.72	MDN	$1,683	$55	9	1. Marshmallow 2. Arka Chief 3. Pagoda Growler
8th of 8	5/11/24	Geelong	400m	5	0:24.34	59.2 km/h	20.0L	$23	0:22.94	0:22.46	MDN	$1,683	-	10	1. Pichola Ralphy 2. Noah Dear 3. Hi Good Thanks
6th of 8	26/10/24	Bendigo	425m	4	0:25.04	61.1 km/h	8.8L	$34	0:24.42	0:24.08	MDN	$1,683	-	29	1. Jazzy Hope 2. Gumtree Hill 3. Atlas Amazon
5th of 7	27/9/24	Healesville	300m	7	0:17.78	60.7 km/h	11.0L	$31	0:17.00	0:16.87	MDN	$1,683	-	10	1. Big Reveal 2. Lucky Indeed 3. Decoded

Mia Master (4) 2225423642
Trainer: Grant Masterson (Tyabb)
Prize Money: $2,739
Win / Place: 0% / 44%

2 yo Black B

Sire: ZACK MONELLI

Dam: CIMARRON STRIP

Rating

Stats

Career

18: 0-6-2

Track

3: 0-2-1

Trk/Dst

3: 0-2-1

Distance

3: 0-2-1

Season

11: 0-5-1

1st Up

1: 0-0-0

2nd Up

1: 0-0-1

Winning Distances
<400	400+	500+	600+	700+
0	0	0	0	0

Box History	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8
STARTS	2	4	4	3	1	1	1	2
1st	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2nd	0	2	2	1	0	0	0	1
3rd	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	0

Comments

Good effort last time when second (17.14) over 300m at Healesville. Awkward draw to overcome. Has to do a bit more.

Expected Early Speed:Midfield

Last Starts days since last start

Place	Date	Track	Distance	Box	Ran	Avg. Speed	Margin	SP	Win Time	BON	Class	Prize	Prize Won	Days	Result
2nd of 6	6/12/24	Healesville	300m	3	0:17.14	63.0 km/h	2.1L	$3.70	0:16.99	0:16.89	MDN	$1,683	$352	9	1. Ms Daisy Mikado 2. Mia Master 3. Franky's Fury
4th of 8	27/11/24	Bendigo	425m	3	0:24.82	61.6 km/h	11.3L	$12	0:24.03	0:24.03	MDN	$1,683	$55	12	1. Black Sky 2. Minh Cindy 3. Go Back
6th of 8	15/11/24	Healesville	350m	4	0:20.48	61.5 km/h	13.3L	$7.50	0:19.60	0:19.39	MDN	$1,683	-	8	1. Put It Together 2. Scott Micah 3. Ruth's Commander
3rd of 8	7/11/24	Warragul	400m	6	0:23.15	62.2 km/h	3.2L	$4.20	0:22.93	0:22.67	MDN	$1,683	$176	7	1. Magic Outlaw 2. Ruth's Commander 3. Mia Master
2nd of 8	31/10/24	Warragul	400m	3	0:23.24	62.0 km/h	4.9L	$8.50	0:22.90	0:22.67	MDN	$1,683	$352	8	1. Trickle 2. Mia Master 3. Crystalize
4th of 8	23/10/24	Sale	435m	1	0:25.80	60.7 km/h	3.2L	$4.60	0:25.57	0:24.65	MDN	$1,683	$55	8	1. Don't Blame Me 2. Terrorising Tom 3. Minter Shimmer

Boil The Billy (5) 5725322657
Trainer: Cindy Fulford (Maffra)
Prize Money: $2,079
Win / Place: 0% / 28%

2 yo BDL D

Sire: MY REDEEMER

Dam: PLEACH

Rating

Stats

Career

21: 0-3-3

Track

10: 0-3-1

Trk/Dst

10: 0-3-1

Distance

10: 0-3-1

Season

11: 0-3-1

1st Up

1: 0-0-0

2nd Up

1: 0-0-0

Winning Distances
<400	400+	500+	600+	700+
0	0	0	0	0

Box History	1	2	3	4	5	7	8
STARTS	3	3	3	3	4	2	3
1st	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2nd	0	2	1	0	0	0	0
3rd	1	0	0	1	0	0	1

Comments

Has been out of the money of late. Could only manage seventh last time out over 400m at this track. Hard to have this time.

Expected Early Speed:Midfield

Last Starts days since last start

Place	Date	Track	Distance	Box	Ran	Avg. Speed	Margin	SP	Win Time	BON	Class	Prize	Prize Won	Days	Result
7th of 7	31/10/24	Warragul	400m	3	0:23.79	60.5 km/h	4.5L	$4.50	0:23.47	0:22.67	MDN	$1,683	-	8	1. Jeannie Act 2. Paw Forrester 3. Hurricane Lucy
5th of 7	23/10/24	Sale	435m	2	0:25.57	61.2 km/h	8.9L	$8.50	0:24.94	0:24.65	MDN	$1,683	-	5	1. Evolve 2. Mayfair Jill 3. Parumba Cha Cha
6th of 6	18/10/24	Sale	435m	4	0:26.40	59.3 km/h	14.5L	$2.40	0:25.39	0:24.54	MDN	$1,683	-	8	1. Apple Cherry 2. Rochard 3. Oleg's Run
2nd of 8	10/10/24	Warragul	400m	2	0:23.27	61.9 km/h	2.1L	$7.00	0:23.13	0:22.67	MDN	$1,683	$352	6	1. Episode Five 2. Boil The Billy 3. Miss Galore
2nd of 7	4/10/24	Warragul	400m	2	0:23.66	60.9 km/h	3.3L	$34	0:23.43	0:22.71	MDN	$2,794	$572	9	1. Steal The Show 2. Boil The Billy 3. Aston Outlay
3rd of 8	25/9/24	Sale	435m	8	0:25.48	61.5 km/h	2.3L	$16	0:25.32	0:24.88	MDN	$1,683	$176	13	1. Foreign Currency 2. Bonn Bang 3. Boil The Billy

Noah Dear (6) x252222222
Trainer: Jason Sharp (Lara)
Prize Money: $3,075
Win / Place: 0% / 64%

2 yo Black D

Sire: MY REDEEMER

Dam: PHILADELPHIA PIP

100

Rating

Stats

Career

14: 0-8-1

Track

1: 0-1-0

Trk/Dst

1: 0-1-0

Distance

9: 0-4-1

Season

9: 0-8-0

1st Up

2: 0-1-0

2nd Up

2: 0-0-0

Winning Distances
<400	400+	500+	600+	700+
0	0	0	0	0

Box History	1	2	4	5	6	8
STARTS	2	1	3	2	2	4
1st	0	0	0	0	0	0
2nd	0	1	1	2	1	3
3rd	0	0	1	0	0	0

Comments

Is a 14 start maiden overdue for a win, hitting the frame last start when second (17.00) over 300m at Healesville. Although beaten ran fast time last start. Expected to prove tough to beat.

Expected Early Speed:Front Runner

Last Starts days since last start

Place	Date	Track	Distance	Box	Ran	Avg. Speed	Margin	SP	Win Time	BON	Class	Prize	Prize Won	Days	Result
2nd of 8	6/12/24	Healesville	300m	5	0:17.00	63.5 km/h	1.6L	$2.70	0:16.89	0:16.89	MDN	$1,683	$352	7	1. Zinzan Charlie 2. Noah Dear 3. Jay's Girl
2nd of 5	29/11/24	Healesville	300m	6	0:17.22	62.7 km/h	2.1L	$2.00	0:17.07	0:16.75	MDN	$1,683	$352	4	1. Foxy Freckles 2. Noah Dear 3. Cebu Express
2nd of 7	25/11/24	Warrnambool	390m	4	0:22.69	61.9 km/h	1.4L	$3.20	0:22.60	0:22.27	MDN	$1,683	$352	7	1. Harley Riot 2. Noah Dear 3. Rugrat Tommy
2nd of 6	18/11/24	Warrnambool	390m	2	0:22.81	61.6 km/h	0.1L	$1.60	0:22.81	0:22.36	MDN	$1,683	$352	4	1. Greedy Rich 2. Noah Dear 3. Neighbours Alarm
2nd of 8	14/11/24	Warragul	400m	8	0:23.25	61.9 km/h	2.0L	$3.20	0:23.12	0:22.72	MDN	$1,683	$352	9	1. My Cool Breeze 2. Noah Dear 3. Crypto Tiger
2nd of 8	5/11/24	Geelong	400m	8	0:23.12	62.3 km/h	2.5L	$3.50	0:22.94	0:22.46	MDN	$1,683	$352	14	1. Pichola Ralphy 2. Noah Dear 3. Hi Good Thanks

Warrior Lizzy (7) 47573
Trainer: Cindy Fulford (Maffra)
Prize Money: $259
Win / Place: 0% / 20%

1 yo Black B

Sire: ASTON RUPEE

Dam: DIAMOND BANNER

Rating

Stats

Career

5: 0-0-1

Track

3: 0-0-1

Trk/Dst

3: 0-0-1

Distance

3: 0-0-1

Season

5: 0-0-1

1st Up

1: 0-0-0

2nd Up

1: 0-0-0

Winning Distances
<400	400+	500+	600+	700+
0	0	0	0	0

Box History	4	6
STARTS	2	3
1st	0	0
2nd	0	0
3rd	0	1

Comments

Showed good improvement when third behind Flying Mckeon at this track last start over 400m (23.38). Has to be respected.

Expected Early Speed:Midfield

Last Starts days since last start

Place	Date	Track	Distance	Box	Ran	Avg. Speed	Margin	SP	Win Time	BON	Class	Prize	Prize Won	Days	Result
3rd of 7	5/12/24	Warragul	400m	6	0:23.38	61.6 km/h	10.3L	$15	0:22.66	0:22.65	MDN	$1,683	$176	8	1. Flying McKeon 2. Trendy Mover 3. Warrior Lizzy
7th of 7	27/11/24	Sale	435m	4	0:25.76	60.8 km/h	17.1L	$101	0:24.56	0:24.44	MDN	$2,794	-	13	1. Scout Ace 2. Olivia Lee Rose 3. Sparkling Girl
5th of 8	14/11/24	Warragul	400m	6	0:23.73	60.7 km/h	13.0L	$20	0:22.88	0:22.72	MDN	$1,683	-	29	1. Marshmallow 2. Arka Chief 3. Pagoda Growler
7th of 7	16/10/24	Sale	435m	6	0:26.19	59.8 km/h	20.6L	$46	0:24.74	0:24.34	MDN	$2,794	-	5	1. Holly Rose 2. Demolish 3. Little Chatter
4th of 6	11/10/24	Warragul	400m	4	0:23.81	60.5 km/h	15.7L	$11	0:22.71	0:22.36	MDN	$2,794	$83	-	1. Corinthian 2. Hunting Girl 3. After The Bell

Cordova (8) 36
Trainer: Matthew Clark (Briagolong)
Prize Money: $286
Win / Place: 0% / 50%

1 yo Black B

Sire: TOMMY SHELBY

Dam: DAVA SUPREME

Rating

Stats

Career

2: 0-0-1

Season

2: 0-0-1

1st Up

1: 0-0-1

2nd Up

1: 0-0-0

Winning Distances
<400	400+	500+	600+	700+
0	0	0	0	0

Box History	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8
STARTS	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0
1st	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2nd	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3rd	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0

Comments

Last start finished 6th over 510m at Sale beaten 16 lengths (30.22) behind Amron Sammy in a Maiden on November 24. Major threat on best form.

Expected Early Speed:Midfield

Last Starts days since last start

Place	Date	Track	Distance	Box	Ran	Avg. Speed	Margin	SP	Win Time	BON	Class	Prize	Prize Won	Days	Result
6th of 8	24/11/24	Sale	510m	7	0:30.22	60.8 km/h	15.6L	$4.80	0:29.12	0:29.02	MDN	$3,674	-	14	1. Amron Sammy 2. My Athena 3. Ultimate Lexi
3rd of 8	10/11/24	Sale	435m	7	0:24.83	63.1 km/h	2.2L	$20	0:24.68	0:24.30	MDN	$2,794	$286	-	1. Strike A Match 2. Nosey Bluey 3. Cordova

Place

Date

Track

Distance

Box

Ran

Avg. Speed

Margin

Win Time

BON

Class

Prize

Prize Won

Days

Result

6th of 8

24/11/24

Sale

510m

0:30.22

60.8 km/h

15.6L

$4.80

0:29.12

0:29.02

MDN

$3,674

1. Amron Sammy

2. My Athena

3. Ultimate Lexi

3rd of 8

10/11/24

Sale

435m

0:24.83

63.1 km/h

2.2L

$20

0:24.68

0:24.30

MDN

$2,794

$286

1. Strike A Match

2. Nosey Bluey

3. Cordova

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