Dubbo Race 7

Freddy's Magpies

Stake: $3,093

REAL CHANCE (1) has a superb record at this track and trip, unbeaten so far from three starts. Recorded a 1.75 lengths win (19.74) in a Grade 5 last time at Goulburn. Expected to be in the finish. ARMATREE PASTA (6) goes very well this trip starting 15 times for eight wins and five minors. Comes off a (19.70) win last time, scoring by 1.5 lengths in a Grade 4/5 over 340m at Gunnedah. With even luck and a clean start should be around the money. SWIFT ELI (8) can sneak into the finish.

Distance: 318m
Class: 4th/5th Grade
Track: Good
Weather: OCAST
Surface: All Weather

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Real Chance (1) 11111231
Trainer: Pamela Braddon (COWRA)
Prize Money: $12,054
Win / Place: 75% / 100%

Unbeaten at the Track

Unbeaten at the Distance

Unbeaten The Track / Distance

1 yo Black D

Sire: TOMMY SHELBY (AUS)

Dam: CLARE A CHANCE (AUS)

Owners: Pamela Braddon

100

Rating

Stats

Career

8: 6-1-1

Track

3: 3-0-0

Trk/Dst

3: 3-0-0

Distance

3: 3-0-0

Season

6: 4-1-1

1st Up

1: 1-0-0

2nd Up

1: 1-0-0

Winning Distances
<400	400+	500+	600+	700+
6	0	0	0	0

Box History	1	2	4	6	7	8
STARTS	1	1	1	1	1	3
1st	1	1	1	1	0	2
2nd	0	0	0	0	1	0
3rd	0	0	0	0	0	1

Comments

Good win last start as odds-on favourite by 1.75 lengths over 350m at Goulburn in a handy 19.74, beating Lumeah Storm. Well suited by the draw. Expected to measure up again.

Expected Early Speed:Front Runner

Last Starts days since last start

Place	Date	Track	Distance	Box	Ran	Avg. Speed	Margin	SP	Win Time	BON	Class	Prize	Prize Won	Days	Result
1st of 7	25/9/26	Goulburn	350m	2	0:19.74	63.8 km/h	1.8L	$1.20	0:19.74	0:19.62	GR 5	$2,878	$1,845	7	1. Real Chance 2. Lumeah Storm 3. Opawa Akaela
3rd of 8	18/9/26	Goulburn	350m	8	0:20.00	63.0 km/h	4.3L	$1.90	0:19.70	0:19.70	GR 4/5	$3,100	$449	7	1. Aussie Blend 2. Magic Fletch 3. Real Chance
2nd of 7	11/9/26	Goulburn	350m	7	0:19.65	64.1 km/h	2.5L	$2.20	0:19.47	0:19.47	GR 5	$2,878	$535	6	1. Magic Mania 2. Real Chance 3. Son Of Bianca
1st of 8	5/9/26	Dubbo	318m	6	0:18.01	63.6 km/h	9.8L	$1.40	0:18.01	0:18.01	GR 5	$2,878	$1,845	9	1. Real Chance 2. Kiando Venom 3. Karinya Shall Be
1st of 8	27/8/26	Dubbo	318m	8	0:18.06	63.4 km/h	5.0L	$1.60	0:18.06	0:18.06	GR 5	$3,247	$2,214	12	1. Real Chance 2. Kert Kert 3. Alex Keeping
1st of 7	15/8/26	Dubbo	318m	4	0:18.11	63.2 km/h	4.8L	$1.60	0:18.11	0:18.11	GR 5	$2,878	$1,845	22	1. Real Chance 2. Red Rock Lotus 3. Another Lehigh

Cindy's Patch (3) 6145211233
Trainer: Mark Wicks (BORENORE)
Prize Money: $32,374
Win / Place: 24% / 57%

4 yo Black/WH B

Sire: TOMMY SHELBY (AUS)

Dam: LITTLE CINDY (AUS)

Owners: Mark Wicks

Rating

Stats

Career

54: 13-6-12

Track

43: 12-6-9

Trk/Dst

39: 11-6-8

Distance

39: 11-6-8

Season

9: 3-2-2

1st Up

4: 0-0-2

2nd Up

4: 1-1-0

Winning Distances
<400	400+	500+	600+	700+
12	1	0	0	0

Box History	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8
STARTS	6	4	4	12	9	6	11	2
1st	2	1	1	2	3	3	1	0
2nd	0	1	0	1	0	0	3	1
3rd	2	1	1	2	3	1	2	0

Comments

Has been in the money at last three starts, the latest when third (18.53) at this track. Drawn close to the inside. Solid top-three prospects.

Expected Early Speed:Midfield

Last Starts days since last start

Place	Date	Track	Distance	Box	Ran	Avg. Speed	Margin	SP	Win Time	BON	Class	Prize	Prize Won	Days	Result
3rd of 6	28/9/26	Dubbo	318m	2	0:18.53	61.8 km/h	3.3L	$3.00	0:18.30	0:18.30	NG	$1,943	$246	9	1. Irinka Fred 2. Ada Taro 3. Cindy's Patch
3rd of 6	19/9/26	Dubbo	318m	7	0:18.71	61.2 km/h	7.8L	$8.00	0:18.16	0:18.16	GR 3/4	$3,272	$461	7	1. Amazing Gem 2. Hard Style Chick 3. Cindy's Patch
2nd of 7	12/9/26	Dubbo	318m	8	0:18.52	61.8 km/h	2.5L	$4.80	0:18.34	0:18.25	MX 1/2/3	$2,878	$535	7	1. Nates Fury 2. Cindy's Patch 3. Miss Macie Lyn
1st of 8	5/9/26	Dubbo	318m	5	0:18.27	62.7 km/h	2.0L	$5.50	0:18.27	0:18.01	GR 4/5	$3,100	$1,968	9	1. Cindy's Patch 2. Let's Go Jude 3. Triple Phantom
1st of 8	27/8/26	Dubbo	318m	5	0:18.37	62.3 km/h	2.0L	$2.60	0:18.37	0:18.06	MX 2/3	$3,247	$2,214	10	1. Cindy's Patch 2. Go Forward Block 3. Miss Macie Lyn
2nd of 4	17/8/26	Dubbo	318m	2	0:18.52	61.8 km/h	6.5L	$51	0:18.05	0:18.05	NG	$1,943	$369	2	1. Dottie Keeping 2. Cindy's Patch 3. Bomb Noah

Lektra Bella (4) 8567717486
Trainer: Bradley O'neil (WELLINGTON)
Prize Money: $21,642
Win / Place: 12% / 37%

3 yo Black B

Sire: TOMMY SHELBY (AUS)

Dam: LEKTRA PERRY (AUS)

Owners: Tyler Fleming

Rating

Stats

Career

66: 8-11-6

Track

8: 1-0-0

Trk/Dst

4: 1-0-0

Distance

4: 1-0-0

Season

8: 1-0-0

1st Up

1: 0-1-0

2nd Up

1: 0-0-0

Winning Distances
<400	400+	500+	600+	700+
5	3	0	0	0

Box History	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8
STARTS	3	13	6	8	5	10	9	12
1st	1	4	0	1	0	1	0	1
2nd	1	4	0	2	1	1	1	1
3rd	0	1	0	2	0	1	2	0

Comments

Has not shown much in recent runs. Could only manage sixth last time out over 318m at this track. Looking to others this time.

Expected Early Speed:Backmarker

Last Starts days since last start

Place	Date	Track	Distance	Box	Ran	Avg. Speed	Margin	SP	Win Time	BON	Class	Prize	Prize Won	Days	Result
6th of 6	28/9/26	Dubbo	318m	8	0:19.06	60.1 km/h	9.3L	$19	0:18.42	0:18.30	NG	$1,943	-	7	1. Nugget Ned 2. Southbrook Merv 3. Itchy's Flyer
8th of 8	21/9/26	Dubbo	318m	3	0:19.23	59.5 km/h	14.0L	$23	0:18.24	0:18.24	NG	$1,943	-	2	1. Southbrook Merv 2. Fear Not Franky 3. Madam Zelda
4th of 5	19/9/26	Dubbo	400m	7	0:23.58	61.1 km/h	12.5L	$51	0:22.70	0:22.70	GR 4/5	$3,100	$92	7	1. Sky Keeping 2. Hybrid Blue 3. Zippy Zenden
7th of 7	12/9/26	Dubbo	400m	4	0:23.46	61.4 km/h	9.8L	$51	0:22.77	0:22.77	GR 4/5	$3,100	-	7	1. Total Treasure 2. Sky Keeping 3. Slippery Bogan
1st of 8	5/9/26	Dubbo	318m	2	0:18.52	61.8 km/h	6.5L	$4.60	0:18.52	0:18.01	GR 5	$2,878	$1,845	9	1. Lektra Bella 2. Best Nan 3. Raven Fire
7th of 8	27/8/26	Dubbo	318m	8	0:19.30	59.3 km/h	14.3L	$5.00	0:18.32	0:18.06	GR 5	$3,247	-	12	1. Pink Milk 2. Lunar Blast 3. Angel Meg

Zoe's Secret (5) 2533532653
Trainer: Michael Ashman (WELLINGTON)
Prize Money: $15,633
Win / Place: 28% / 71%

2 yo FWN B

Sire: BERNARDO (AUS)

Dam: ENAMOURED (AUS)

Owners: Michael Ashman

Rating

Stats

Career

21: 6-5-4

Track

16: 4-3-4

Trk/Dst

16: 4-3-4

Distance

16: 4-3-4

Season

7: 0-1-3

1st Up

1: 0-0-0

2nd Up

1: 1-0-0

Winning Distances
<400	400+	500+	600+	700+
6	0	0	0	0

Box History	1	2	3	4	6	7	8
STARTS	7	1	1	3	4	2	3
1st	1	0	0	0	2	1	2
2nd	4	0	0	0	0	1	0
3rd	0	1	0	1	1	0	1

Comments

Finished third last time (18.57) over 318m at this track. Squeeze draw to overcome. Has to do a bit more.

Expected Early Speed:Midfield

Last Starts days since last start

Place	Date	Track	Distance	Box	Ran	Avg. Speed	Margin	SP	Win Time	BON	Class	Prize	Prize Won	Days	Result
3rd of 7	26/9/26	Dubbo	318m	4	0:18.57	61.6 km/h	5.8L	$6.50	0:18.17	0:17.97	GR 5	$2,878	$400	14	1. Kaycee Tracey 2. Alex Keeping 3. Zoe's Secret
5th of 8	12/9/26	Dubbo	318m	4	0:19.00	60.3 km/h	10.5L	$8.00	0:18.25	0:18.25	GR 4/5	$3,100	-	7	1. Amazing Gem 2. Classic Lass 3. Bomb Noah
6th of 8	5/9/26	Dubbo	318m	6	0:18.78	61.0 km/h	5.3L	$2.40	0:18.41	0:18.01	GR 5	$2,878	-	5	1. Hard Style Chick 2. Gladstone Bag 3. Cindy's Secret
2nd of 6	31/8/26	Dubbo	318m	1	0:18.51	61.8 km/h	0.1L	$2.40	0:18.51	0:18.36	NG	$1,943	$369	7	1. Irinka Fred 2. Zoe's Secret 3. Model Fernanda
3rd of 7	24/8/26	Dubbo	318m	2	0:18.52	61.8 km/h	2.0L	$4.60	0:18.37	0:18.37	NG	$1,943	$246	16	1. Holly's Folly 2. Faith Keeping 3. Zoe's Secret
5th of 8	8/8/26	Dubbo	318m	4	0:18.78	61.0 km/h	10.3L	$31	0:18.06	0:18.06	NG	$3,272	-	7	1. Dottie Keeping 2. Faith Keeping 3. Armatree Violet

Armatree Pasta (6) 5423431141
Trainer: Graham Pickering (COONAMBLE)
Prize Money: $29,268
Win / Place: 46% / 76%

2 yo FWN D

Sire: FERNANDO BALE (AUS)

Dam: ARMATREE'S NINJA (AUS)

Owners: Craig Fordham

Rating

Stats

Career

26: 12-3-5

Track

2: 0-0-0

Season

10: 3-1-2

1st Up

1: 0-0-1

2nd Up

1: 1-0-0

Winning Distances
<400	400+	500+	600+	700+
8	4	0	0	0

Box History	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8
STARTS	4	5	1	3	6	1	4	2
1st	3	3	0	1	2	0	2	1
2nd	1	0	0	0	2	0	0	0
3rd	0	1	1	0	1	0	1	1

Comments

Good effort to score just a couple of days ago over 340m at Gunnedah by 1.5 lengths in a Grade 4/5. Makes plenty of appeal on the back of the latest win.

Expected Early Speed:Midfield

Last Starts days since last start

Place	Date	Track	Distance	Box	Ran	Avg. Speed	Margin	SP	Win Time	BON	Class	Prize	Prize Won	Days	Result
1st of 7	1/10/26	Gunnedah	340m	7	0:19.70	62.1 km/h	1.5L	$1.50	0:19.70	0:19.66	GR 4/5	$3,100	$1,968	7	1. Armatree Pasta 2. Shorty 3. Casual Escape
4th of 7	24/9/26	Gunnedah	340m	6	0:19.69	62.2 km/h	4.3L	$7.00	0:19.38	0:19.38	NG	$3,272	$92	7	1. Ava's Milo 2. Cookie Man 3. Payne Cargo
1st of 7	17/9/26	Gunnedah	340m	8	0:19.67	62.2 km/h	1.3L	$1.80	0:19.67	0:19.42	GR 4/5	$3,100	$1,968	7	1. Armatree Pasta 2. Salamat 3. Lektra Bert
1st of 8	10/9/26	Gunnedah	340m	1	0:19.89	61.5 km/h	0.3L	$1.70	0:19.89	0:19.62	GR 5	$2,878	$1,845	7	1. Armatree Pasta 2. Zipping Jakara 3. Victor Cargo
3rd of 7	3/9/26	Gunnedah	431m	8	0:25.59	60.6 km/h	4.0L	$4.40	0:25.31	0:25.04	GR 5	$3,985	$554	5	1. Armatree Judo 2. Mully The Master 3. Armatree Pasta
4th of 8	29/8/26	Gunnedah	340m	7	0:20.06	61.0 km/h	1.0L	$1.60	0:19.99	0:19.56	GR 5	$2,878	$92	9	1. Separation 2. Noah Bonkers 3. Jamaica Rum

Let's Go Jude (7) 3x57342365
Trainer: Paul Braddon (COWRA)
Prize Money: $19,901
Win / Place: 28% / 64%

2 yo Black B

Sire: WHISKEY RIOT (AUS)

Dam: SHE'S A GEM (AUS)

Owners: Paul Braddon

Rating

Stats

Career

28: 8-6-4

Track

20: 7-4-2

Trk/Dst

19: 7-4-2

Distance

19: 7-4-2

Season

8: 0-1-2

1st Up

2: 0-0-0

2nd Up

2: 0-0-1

Winning Distances
<400	400+	500+	600+	700+
8	0	0	0	0

Box History	1	2	3	4	5	7	8
STARTS	4	6	6	5	1	2	4
1st	1	1	1	1	1	1	2
2nd	1	2	1	0	0	0	2
3rd	0	2	1	1	0	0	0

Comments

Goes well at this track and trip. At the last start finished 5th on September 25 over 350m at Goulburn behind Real Chance beaten 8 lengths (20.31) in a Grade 5. Capable of taking this out.

Expected Early Speed:Midfield

Last Starts days since last start

Place	Date	Track	Distance	Box	Ran	Avg. Speed	Margin	SP	Win Time	BON	Class	Prize	Prize Won	Days	Result
5th of 7	25/9/26	Goulburn	350m	3	0:20.31	62.0 km/h	8.3L	$4.80	0:19.74	0:19.62	GR 5	$2,878	-	7	1. Real Chance 2. Lumeah Storm 3. Opawa Akaela
6th of 8	18/9/26	Goulburn	350m	2	0:20.49	61.5 km/h	11.3L	$8.50	0:19.70	0:19.70	GR 4/5	$3,100	-	7	1. Aussie Blend 2. Magic Fletch 3. Real Chance
3rd of 6	11/9/26	Goulburn	350m	3	0:19.84	63.5 km/h	1.0L	$3.80	0:19.76	0:19.47	GR 4/5	$3,100	$449	6	1. Shanti Bay 2. Go Go Spirit 3. Let's Go Jude
2nd of 8	5/9/26	Dubbo	318m	3	0:18.41	62.2 km/h	2.0L	$3.70	0:18.27	0:18.01	GR 4/5	$3,100	$584	9	1. Cindy's Patch 2. Let's Go Jude 3. Triple Phantom
4th of 8	27/8/26	Dubbo	318m	4	0:18.99	60.3 km/h	10.8L	$2.50	0:18.24	0:18.06	GR 5	$3,247	$92	12	1. Amazing Gem 2. Slippery Bogan 3. Bronte Beach
3rd of 6	15/8/26	Dubbo	318m	2	0:18.93	60.5 km/h	6.3L	$1.90	0:18.48	0:18.11	GR 5	$2,878	$400	7	1. Bell Mac Magic 2. Slippery Bogan 3. Let's Go Jude

Swift Eli (8) 3777378834
Trainer: Graham Pickering (COONAMBLE)
Prize Money: $28,407
Win / Place: 10% / 40%

3 yo Black D

Sire: PRIMO UNO (AUS)

Dam: NANGAR DIVA (AUS)

Owners: Graham Pickering

Rating

Stats

Career

91: 10-13-14

Track

66: 8-11-9

Trk/Dst

51: 7-9-6

Distance

51: 7-9-6

Season

8: 0-0-2

1st Up

2: 0-0-2

2nd Up

2: 0-0-1

Winning Distances
<400	400+	500+	600+	700+
9	1	0	0	0

Box History	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8
STARTS	10	13	10	14	12	11	9	12
1st	2	1	0	1	1	1	1	3
2nd	4	1	2	2	3	0	0	1
3rd	1	1	0	3	2	2	3	2

Comments

Found some support last start but struggled and finished 4th over 340m at Gunnedah beaten 5.5 lengths (20.25) behind From The Disco in a Grade 5 on October 1. Placed two back at Gunnedah. Look for improvement. Not out of it.

Expected Early Speed:Midfield

Last Starts days since last start

Place	Date	Track	Distance	Box	Ran	Avg. Speed	Margin	SP	Win Time	BON	Class	Prize	Prize Won	Days	Result
4th of 8	1/10/26	Gunnedah	340m	6	0:20.25	60.4 km/h	5.3L	$4.40	0:19.88	0:19.66	GR 5	$2,878	$92	7	1. From The Disco 2. Glen Alpine 3. Denawen Beach
3rd of 8	24/9/26	Gunnedah	340m	5	0:20.13	60.8 km/h	5.0L	$21	0:19.78	0:19.38	GR 5	$2,878	$400	14	1. Bear Man 2. Salamat 3. Swift Eli
8th of 8	10/9/26	Gunnedah	431m	3	0:26.01	59.7 km/h	14.0L	$101	0:25.02	0:24.98	GR 5	$3,985	-	7	1. Armatree Pesto 2. Queen Gout 3. Armatree Judo
8th of 8	3/9/26	Gunnedah	431m	7	0:26.07	59.5 km/h	14.5L	$41	0:25.04	0:25.04	GR 5	$3,985	-	5	1. Eva Cargo 2. Unhurried 3. Little Mimi
7th of 8	29/8/26	Gunnedah	340m	6	0:20.25	60.4 km/h	7.8L	$61	0:19.71	0:19.56	GR 4/5	$3,100	-	9	1. Maybe Yes 2. Zipping Deloris 3. Shorty
3rd of 8	20/8/26	Gunnedah	340m	1	0:20.07	61.0 km/h	3.5L	$3.60	0:19.82	0:19.69	GR 5	$2,878	$400	7	1. Zipping Baff 2. My Fairy Bread 3. Swift Eli

Bogan Knows (2) 62476278x4
Trainer: Graham Dixon (PARKES)
Prize Money: $21,623
Win / Place: 9.46% / 36%

3 yo Black D

Sire: KOBLENZ (AUS)

Dam: BOGAN VILLA (AUS)

Owners: Graham Dixon

Rating

Stats

Career

74: 7-11-9

Track

64: 7-10-8

Trk/Dst

47: 6-9-7

Distance

47: 6-9-7

Season

1: 0-0-0

1st Up

2: 0-0-0

2nd Up

1: 0-0-0

Winning Distances
<400	400+	500+	600+	700+
6	1	0	0	0

Box History	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8
STARTS	9	11	12	9	8	10	6	9
1st	0	1	1	1	1	3	0	0
2nd	2	1	2	0	1	1	1	3
3rd	3	2	1	3	0	0	0	0

Comments

Has shown little speed out of the boxes and tends to spot them a start in his races, The latest effort was a 7 length fourth over 318m at this track. Others have better credentials.

Expected Early Speed:Backmarker

Last Starts days since last start

Place	Date	Track	Distance	Box	Ran	Avg. Speed	Margin	SP	Win Time	BON	Class	Prize	Prize Won	Days	Result
4th of 6	28/9/26	Dubbo	318m	2	0:18.91	60.5 km/h	7.0L	$21	0:18.42	0:18.30	NG	$1,943	$92	93	1. Nugget Ned 2. Southbrook Merv 3. Itchy's Flyer
93 Day Spell
8th of 8	27/6/26	Dubbo	318m	3	0:19.50	58.7 km/h	16.3L	$46	0:18.37	0:18.26	GR 4/5	$3,100	-	17	1. Faith Keeping 2. Zoe's Secret 3. Bronte Beach
7th of 8	10/6/26	Temora	330m	6	0:19.97	59.5 km/h	14.3L	$11	0:18.97	0:18.72	GR 5	$2,878	-	4	1. Kiando Hunt 2. Greysynd Merlin 3. Mala Angel
2nd of 8	6/6/26	Dubbo	318m	3	0:18.64	61.4 km/h	6.0L	$20	0:18.21	0:18.21	GR 5	$2,878	$535	8	1. Faith Keeping 2. Bogan Knows, Kiando Diva 3.
6th of 8	29/5/26	Richmond	320m	6	0:18.67	61.7 km/h	6.5L	$61	0:18.20	0:17.91	GR 4/5	$3,100	-	6	1. Silvertree Brad 2. Madam Zelda 3. Sammy My Boy
7th of 8	23/5/26	Dubbo	318m	2	0:19.17	59.7 km/h	17.0L	$71	0:17.98	0:17.98	GR 4/5	$3,100	-	14	1. Coco Mac 2. Dottie Keeping 3. Red Rock Rattler

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