Warrnambool Race 10

Broad Tree Care

Stake: $3,696

NATALIE BALE (4) shapes well for this backing up a dynamic 21.97 win with success at Geelong over 400m last time, recording 22.55. Expecting another bold showing. RUBY'S SHOW (2) won again in another strong performance after leading them home to make it back to back wins, scoring at this track over 450m (25.46). In top form and looks a key chance again. PAW PAVLOV (8) profiles nicely over this trip.

Distance: 390m
Class: Mixed 4/5
Track: Good
Weather: FINE
Surface: All Weather

Racing and Sports™ Trusted form provider for 20+ years

Ruby's Show (2) 17f2186211
Trainer: Daniel Gibbons (Avalon)
Prize Money: $12,749
Win / Place: 29% / 52%

Going for the Hat-Trick

2 yo Black B

Sire: FERAL FRANKY

Dam: HAPPY RUBY

Rating

Stats

Career

17: 5-3-1

Track

3: 2-1-0

Trk/Dst

2: 1-1-0

Distance

7: 2-1-0

Season

16: 5-3-1

1st Up

1: 0-0-0

2nd Up

1: 0-0-1

Winning Distances
<400	400+	500+	600+	700+
2	3	0	0	0

Box History	1	2	3	4	5	6	8
STARTS	2	1	4	2	3	3	2
1st	1	0	1	0	1	2	0
2nd	0	0	1	2	0	0	0
3rd	0	0	1	0	0	0	0

Comments

Last start winner at this track over 450m running a time of 25.46. In top form and can make it three straight.

Expected Early Speed:Front Runner

Last Starts days since last start

Place	Date	Track	Distance	Box	Ran	Avg. Speed	Margin	SP	Win Time	BON	Class	Prize	Prize Won	Days	Result
1st of 8	28/11/24	Warrnambool	450m	1	0:25.46	63.6 km/h	1.3L	$13	0:25.46	0:24.99	GR 5	$3,223	$2,145	9	1. Ruby's Show 2. Impel 3. Bruce's Shout
1st of 7	19/11/24	Horsham	410m	5	0:23.35	63.2 km/h	2.8L	$3.50	0:23.35	0:23.16	GR 5	$3,223	$2,145	7	1. Ruby's Show 2. Blue Tick Nelson 3. Stress Test
2nd of 7	12/11/24	Horsham	410m	3	0:23.35	63.2 km/h	1.3L	$4.80	0:23.28	0:22.95	GR 5 NP	$3,223	$660	6	1. He's Got Swag 2. Ruby's Show 3. Ox The Man
6th of 8	6/11/24	Ballarat	390m	5	0:22.84	61.5 km/h	14.2L	$24	0:21.84	0:21.76	GR 5	$3,223	-	7	1. Hunter Fred 2. Paw Xena 3. Shima Stripe
8th of 8	30/10/24	Ballarat	450m	6	0:26.44	61.3 km/h	14.8L	$41	0:25.40	0:25.27	GR 5	$3,223	-	7	1. Aston Zingara 2. Lightning Jedda 3. Rev Rose
1st of 8	23/10/24	Ballarat	390m	6	0:22.50	62.4 km/h	3.1L	$2.50	0:22.50	0:21.71	RST WIN	$3,223	$2,145	6	1. Ruby's Show 2. Tinker Bruce 3. Lucy Jane

Aston Aretha (3) 6112147318
Trainer: Aimee Drew (Dennington)
Prize Money: $27,891
Win / Place: 37% / 48%

2 yo BLU/BDL B

Sire: BEAST UNLEASHED

Dam: FANTASTIC SKYE

Rating

Stats

Career

35: 13-3-1

Track

7: 1-1-0

Trk/Dst

6: 1-1-0

Distance

11: 4-1-0

Season

13: 4-2-1

1st Up

1: 1-0-0

2nd Up

1: 0-0-0

Winning Distances
<400	400+	500+	600+	700+
4	9	0	0	0

Box History	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8
STARTS	6	4	5	6	4	6	1	3
1st	4	2	2	2	0	2	1	0
2nd	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	1
3rd	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0

Comments

Won two starts back at Mt Gambier over 400m in 23.16. Couldn't repeat the feat last time out when eighth over 400m at Geelong at Grade 4/5 level. Capable of much better. Worth keeping safe.

Expected Early Speed:Backmarker

Last Starts days since last start

Place	Date	Track	Distance	Box	Ran	Avg. Speed	Margin	SP	Win Time	BON	Class	Prize	Prize Won	Days	Result
8th of 8	1/11/24	Geelong	400m	4	0:23.81	60.5 km/h	15.5L	$7.50	0:22.72	0:22.44	GR 4/5	$3,696	-	5	1. Leggett Bale 2. Rapidfire Morris 3. Bombarda Maxima
1st of 6	27/10/24	Mount Gambier	400m	2	0:23.16	62.2 km/h	4.3L	$1.30	0:23.16	0:22.81	GR 5	$1,771	$1,243	7	1. Aston Aretha 2. Gas Man 3. Grumpy Sailor
3rd of 6	20/10/24	Mount Gambier	400m	4	0:23.55	61.1 km/h	7.8L	$1.90	0:23.01	0:22.77	GR 5	$1,771	$176	3	1. Compton Lass 2. Pumpkin Party 3. Aston Aretha
7th of 7	17/10/24	Warrnambool	390m	3	0:22.55	62.3 km/h	7.5L	$2.10	0:22.03	0:21.72	GR 4/5	$3,696	-	7	1. Aston Cayenne 2. Aston Advance 3. Lektra Lyanna
4th of 8	10/10/24	Warrnambool	390m	5	0:22.46	62.5 km/h	5.2L	$3.60	0:22.10	0:21.87	FFA	$3,696	$83	9	1. Cortez Bale 2. Mr. Beets 3. Rouge Knight
1st of 7	1/10/24	Horsham	410m	2	0:23.11	63.9 km/h	0.1L	$3.60	0:23.11	0:22.85	GR 5 FIN	$3,696	$2,475	7	1. Aston Aretha 2. Mighty Quinn 3. Lilydale

Natalie Bale (4) 2236265111
Trainer: Rebecca Gibbons (Avalon)
Prize Money: $23,216
Win / Place: 28% / 60%

Picket Fence

2 yo Black B

Sire: CHRISTO BALE

Dam: HAE ALLEN

100

Rating

Stats

Career

28: 8-7-2

Track

4: 1-0-0

Trk/Dst

3: 1-0-0

Distance

9: 3-1-0

Season

18: 6-4-2

1st Up

1: 0-0-0

2nd Up

1: 1-0-0

Winning Distances
<400	400+	500+	600+	700+
3	5	0	0	0

Box History	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8
STARTS	4	2	6	3	1	5	3	4
1st	2	1	1	2	0	2	0	0
2nd	0	0	2	1	0	2	2	0
3rd	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1

Comments

Won her last three in a row including a strong win last start over 400m at Geelong by 1.4 lengths in a Grade 5. In hot form and can take this out.

Expected Early Speed:Midfield

Last Starts days since last start

Place	Date	Track	Distance	Box	Ran	Avg. Speed	Margin	SP	Win Time	BON	Class	Prize	Prize Won	Days	Result
1st of 8	28/11/24	Geelong	400m	6	0:22.55	63.9 km/h	1.4L	$2.80	0:22.55	0:22.55	GR 5	$3,223	$2,145	8	1. Natalie Bale 2. Dane Mullane 3. Blackpool Ranger
1st of 7	20/11/24	Ballarat	390m	2	0:21.97	63.9 km/h	2.4L	$5.00	0:21.97	0:21.84	FFA	$3,696	$2,475	7	1. Natalie Bale 2. Where's Walter 3. Short And Stumpy
1st of 8	13/11/24	Ballarat	390m	4	0:22.38	62.7 km/h	1.6L	$2.40	0:22.38	0:22.11	GR 5	$3,223	$2,145	7	1. Natalie Bale 2. Ziva Bale 3. Galloping Jessie
5th of 8	6/11/24	Ballarat	390m	8	0:22.59	62.2 km/h	5.9L	$10	0:22.17	0:21.76	GR 5	$3,223	-	7	1. Captain Stevie 2. Myrniong Storm 3. Fabio Giblet
6th of 8	30/10/24	Ballarat	390m	1	0:23.02	61.0 km/h	17.1L	$3.60	0:21.83	0:21.83	GR 5 FIN	$3,696	-	7	1. Serial Sticker 2. Chemical Erosion 3. Aston Monarchy
2nd of 8	23/10/24	Ballarat	390m	3	0:22.02	63.8 km/h	1.3L	$4.50	0:21.93	0:21.71	GR 5 H	$3,223	$660	5	1. Chemical Erosion 2. Natalie Bale 3. Tinker Dot

Matty Boy (5) 4157231538
Trainer: Mark Keane (Koroit)
Prize Money: $14,460
Win / Place: 21% / 39%

3 yo Black D

Sire: SHIMA SHINE

Dam: MEPUNGA MIDGET

Rating

Stats

Career

33: 7-2-4

Track

17: 2-1-3

Trk/Dst

12: 2-1-2

Distance

14: 2-1-2

Season

8: 1-1-2

1st Up

2: 1-0-0

2nd Up

2: 1-0-0

Winning Distances
<400	400+	500+	600+	700+
2	5	0	0	0

Box History	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8
STARTS	9	3	3	5	2	2	4	5
1st	4	0	0	1	0	1	0	1
2nd	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
3rd	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	2

Comments

Last start finished eighth in a Grade 5 on October 30 over 390m at Ballarat behind Hunter Riot, beaten 10 lengths (23.14). This will test.

Expected Early Speed:Front Runner

Last Starts days since last start

Place	Date	Track	Distance	Box	Ran	Avg. Speed	Margin	SP	Win Time	BON	Class	Prize	Prize Won	Days	Result
8th of 8	30/10/24	Ballarat	390m	7	0:23.14	60.7 km/h	10.8L	$35	0:22.38	0:21.83	GR 5	$3,223	-	34	1. Hunter Riot 2. Captain Stevie 3. Varsity Bale
34 Day Freshen-Up
3rd of 7	26/9/24	Warrnambool	390m	8	0:22.62	62.1 km/h	4.2L	$6.00	0:22.32	0:22.14	GR 4/5	$3,696	$380	21	1. Front Cover 2. Westar Commander 3. Matty Boy
5th of 8	5/9/24	Warrnambool	390m	4	0:22.60	62.1 km/h	4.2L	$12	0:22.31	0:22.00	GR 4/5	$3,696	-	7	1. Myola Nick 2. Lala Turbo 3. Let's Win Ollie
1st of 8	29/8/24	Warrnambool	390m	1	0:22.29	63.0 km/h	1.1L	$4.80	0:22.29	0:22.08	GR 5	$3,223	$2,145	7	1. Matty Boy 2. Aston Ophelia 3. Tommy's Hitman
3rd of 8	22/8/24	Warrnambool	390m	5	0:22.37	62.8 km/h	1.9L	$4.00	0:22.24	0:21.96	GR 5	$3,223	$330	7	1. Shaka Goes Bang 2. Exiled 3. Matty Boy
2nd of 8	15/8/24	Warrnambool	390m	8	0:22.34	62.8 km/h	3.2L	$3.50	0:22.12	0:21.75	GR 5	$3,223	$660	7	1. Lala Turbo 2. Matty Boy 3. Gray Elliot

Saint Tommy (6) 6552111553
Trainer: Peter Byrne (Koroit)
Prize Money: $14,355
Win / Place: 16% / 40%

2 yo Black/WH D

Sire: TOMMY SHELBY

Dam: MEPUNGA PRUE

Rating

Stats

Career

54: 9-6-7

Track

16: 3-1-1

Trk/Dst

15: 3-1-1

Distance

15: 3-1-1

Season

11: 3-1-1

1st Up

1: 0-0-0

2nd Up

1: 0-0-0

Winning Distances
<400	400+	500+	600+	700+
3	5	1	0	0

Box History	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8
STARTS	10	4	4	9	8	2	9	8
1st	3	0	1	2	1	0	0	2
2nd	1	1	0	1	1	0	1	1
3rd	1	1	2	0	1	0	2	0

Comments

Good effort at double-figure odds last time when third (22.57) over 390m at this track. Others preferred.

Expected Early Speed:Backmarker

Last Starts days since last start

Place	Date	Track	Distance	Box	Ran	Avg. Speed	Margin	SP	Win Time	BON	Class	Prize	Prize Won	Days	Result
3rd of 6	28/11/24	Warrnambool	390m	3	0:22.57	62.2 km/h	11.0L	$71	0:21.84	0:21.84	GR 4/5	$3,696	$380	4	1. Tattooed 2. Cobble Giblet 3. Saint Tommy
5th of 6	24/11/24	Mount Gambier	400m	7	0:23.93	60.2 km/h	9.8L	$7.00	0:23.24	0:22.89	GR 4/5	$1,892	-	47	1. Chester Deeds 2. Mr. Deeds 3. Rocklea Earle
47 Day Freshen-Up
5th of 6	8/10/24	Horsham	410m	4	0:24.16	61.1 km/h	11.7L	$46	0:23.34	0:23.26	GR 5 H	$3,223	-	5	1. County Kildare 2. Our Titan 3. Sofia Riot
1st of 7	3/10/24	Warrnambool	390m	4	0:22.45	62.5 km/h	0.6L	$11	0:22.45	0:21.93	GR 5	$3,223	$2,145	3	1. Saint Tommy 2. Jenny Bale 3. Shericka
1st of 6	30/9/24	Warrnambool	390m	1	0:22.56	62.2 km/h	0.3L	$1.90	0:22.56	0:22.34	GR 5	$1,683	$1,100	7	1. Saint Tommy 2. Inga Sally 3. Where The Forman
1st of 7	23/9/24	Warrnambool	390m	8	0:22.47	62.5 km/h	0.7L	$9.00	0:22.47	0:22.47	GR 5	$1,683	$1,100	7	1. Saint Tommy 2. Shericka 3. Moonlight Sid

Seats Two (7) 453635312f
Trainer: Gary Hunt (Cudgee)
Prize Money: $22,506
Win / Place: 15% / 43%

2 yo Black B

Sire: FERAL FRANKY

Dam: PICTOR LUCY

Rating

Stats

Career

53: 8-6-9

Track

15: 4-2-1

Trk/Dst

14: 4-2-1

Distance

14: 4-2-1

Season

20: 2-2-5

1st Up

2: 0-0-0

2nd Up

1: 0-0-0

Winning Distances
<400	400+	500+	600+	700+
5	3	0	0	0

Box History	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8
STARTS	5	3	6	7	5	7	11	9
1st	2	0	0	1	0	1	1	3
2nd	0	0	1	0	0	0	3	2
3rd	1	3	1	2	1	0	1	0

Comments

Not fancied in the market and didn't complete the course last start. Reasonable effort the start before when second over 410m at Horsham. Not suited by wide draw and tested under these conditions.

Expected Early Speed:Midfield

Last Starts days since last start

Place	Date	Track	Distance	Box	Ran	Avg. Speed	Margin	SP	Win Time	BON	Class	Prize	Prize Won	Days	Result
- of 8	15/11/24	Geelong	400m	8	0:29.53	48.8 km/h	99.0L	$23	0:22.60	0:22.35	GR 4/5	$3,696	-	6	1. Let's Win Ollie 2. Canya Jive 3. Tornado Tahlia
2nd of 8	9/11/24	Horsham	410m	8	0:23.30	63.3 km/h	4.6L	$16	0:22.98	0:22.98	GR 4	$3,696	$759	4	1. Cortez Bale 2. Seats Two 3. Mighty Quinn
1st of 8	5/11/24	Horsham	410m	8	0:23.36	63.2 km/h	0.5L	$2.80	0:23.36	0:22.93	GR 5	$3,223	$2,145	6	1. Seats Two 2. Motor Head Maxim 3. Spoiler Alert
3rd of 8	30/10/24	Geelong	400m	2	0:23.01	62.6 km/h	4.4L	$11	0:22.70	0:22.68	GR 5	$1,683	$176	8	1. Yamgata Bale 2. Burn Around 3. Seats Two
5th of 7	22/10/24	Horsham	410m	8	0:23.62	62.5 km/h	3.4L	$10	0:23.39	0:22.99	GR 5	$3,223	-	7	1. Mighty Quinn 2. Diva Eradicator 3. Ocean Burn
3rd of 8	15/10/24	Horsham	410m	3	0:23.45	62.9 km/h	1.7L	$14	0:23.33	0:22.86	GR 5	$3,223	$330	5	1. Miss Mary Jo 2. Here Hugo 3. Seats Two

Paw Pavlov (8) 3243114751
Trainer: Robert Camilleri (Lara)
Prize Money: $12,309
Win / Place: 23% / 57%

2 yo Black D

Sire: JS FLAMIN ACE

Dam: DYNA ADRIA

Rating

Stats

Career

21: 5-1-6

Track

2: 1-0-0

Trk/Dst

2: 1-0-0

Distance

2: 1-0-0

Season

13: 3-1-4

1st Up

1: 0-0-1

2nd Up

1: 0-0-0

Winning Distances
<400	400+	500+	600+	700+
2	3	0	0	0

Box History	1	2	4	5	6	7	8
STARTS	1	2	3	1	5	2	7
1st	0	0	1	0	1	1	2
2nd	0	0	0	0	1	0	0
3rd	0	1	0	0	2	0	3

Comments

Scored by 1.3 lengths last time (24.69) in a Grade 5 over 435m at Sale. Goes very well from the draw boasting two victories and three places from seven starts. With even luck and a clean start should be thereabouts.

Expected Early Speed:Midfield

Last Starts days since last start

Place	Date	Track	Distance	Box	Ran	Avg. Speed	Margin	SP	Win Time	BON	Class	Prize	Prize Won	Days	Result
1st of 8	17/11/24	Sale	435m	7	0:24.69	63.4 km/h	1.3L	$4.40	0:24.69	0:24.27	GR 5	$3,223	$2,145	16	1. Paw Pavlov 2. Somerton Karen 3. Anna
5th of 8	1/11/24	Warragul	400m	8	0:23.09	62.4 km/h	5.6L	$4.60	0:22.70	0:22.49	GR 5	$3,223	-	10	1. Surf's Up 2. Super Sequioa 3. Highway Hooligan
7th of 8	22/10/24	Horsham	485m	4	0:28.20	61.9 km/h	9.9L	$12	0:27.51	0:27.24	RST WIN	$4,268	-	13	1. Parabole Rico 2. Take The Steps 3. Perfect Ace
4th of 7	9/10/24	Sale	435m	8	0:24.73	63.3 km/h	2.0L	$5.50	0:24.59	0:24.13	GR 4/5	$3,696	$83	4	1. Shake It Off 2. Collinda Rise 3. Polar Teddy
1st of 8	5/10/24	Horsham	410m	6	0:23.49	62.8 km/h	3.2L	$5.50	0:23.49	0:23.32	GR 5	$3,223	$2,145	18	1. Paw Pavlov 2. Bourke 3. Perfect Tonight
1st of 6	17/9/24	Horsham	410m	8	0:23.35	63.2 km/h	10.1L	$2.70	0:23.35	0:23.11	GR 6	$3,223	$2,145	9	1. Paw Pavlov 2. Big Boy Cooper 3. Sultan Of Swoon

Scott To Burn (1) 7374214327
Trainer: Mark Keane (Koroit)
Prize Money: $19,635
Win / Place: 10% / 44%

4 yo FWN D

Sire: BEWILDERING

Dam: SCOTT TO GIVE

Rating

Stats

Career

78: 8-14-13

Track

51: 6-10-8

Trk/Dst

50: 6-10-8

Distance

59: 6-13-9

Season

11: 1-2-2

1st Up

2: 0-0-1

2nd Up

2: 0-0-1

Winning Distances
<400	400+	500+	600+	700+
8	0	0	0	0

Box History	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8
STARTS	8	13	11	9	5	7	16	9
1st	1	2	0	0	1	2	2	0
2nd	2	2	4	0	1	0	3	2
3rd	0	2	3	0	1	1	5	1

Comments

Missed the frame last time but was in the minors two on end prior to that, the most recent when second (22.74) over 390m at Ballarat. Will need to find best.

Expected Early Speed:Midfield

Last Starts days since last start

Place	Date	Track	Distance	Box	Ran	Avg. Speed	Margin	SP	Win Time	BON	Class	Prize	Prize Won	Days	Result
7th of 8	14/11/24	Warrnambool	390m	4	0:23.29	60.3 km/h	11.7L	$31	0:22.47	0:22.00	GR 5	$3,223	-	3	1. Patrice Lass 2. Nice One Tom 3. Bright Moon
2nd of 8	11/11/24	Ballarat	390m	2	0:22.74	61.7 km/h	8.8L	$7.00	0:22.16	0:22.11	GR 5	$1,683	$352	7	1. Aston Warrior 2. Scott To Burn 3. Kempton Bale
3rd of 8	4/11/24	Ballarat	390m	7	0:22.80	61.6 km/h	5.3L	$11	0:22.43	0:22.43	GR 5	$1,683	$176	12	1. Dernancourt 2. Harry Chana 3. Scott To Burn
4th of 8	23/10/24	Ballarat	390m	4	0:22.65	62.0 km/h	5.6L	$15	0:22.26	0:21.71	GR 5	$3,223	$83	9	1. Stress Test 2. Dane Mullane 3. Quilla Reef
1st of 8	14/10/24	Warrnambool	390m	1	0:22.62	62.1 km/h	2.5L	$3.10	0:22.62	0:22.43	GR 5	$1,683	$1,100	14	1. Scott To Burn 2. Far Away Tears 3. Thai Mogwai
2nd of 8	30/9/24	Warrnambool	390m	3	0:22.64	62.0 km/h	2.3L	$2.40	0:22.47	0:22.34	GR 5	$1,683	$352	7	1. Aldren Bale 2. Scott To Burn 3. Hartland Duke

Racing and Sports™ Trusted form provider for 20+ years